Wednesday, March 5, 2008

Tuesday Wrap-Up

The results are in from today's races, with the exception of the Texas Democratic caucuses, which should come out some time between tomorrow and June. As I said earlier, John McCain won the Republican nomination, and thus all three primaries. The small states were a split for the Democrats with Barack Obama winning Vermont substantially, and Hillary Clinton doing the same in Rhode Island. However, as everyone knows, Ohio and Texas were the big dogs tonight, and Clinton appears to have dominated Ohio and come out with a slightly more marginal victory in the Texas primaries. As of now, only 22% of the Texas caucus results have come in, and Obama is ahead by about 10%.

What this means is, in addition to McCain being the official nominee for the GOP, is that the Democratic race will probably go on for another seven weeks, until the Pennsylvania primaries April 22. I know it's a far in the future, based on how trends have been, but polls at Real Clear Politics have Clinton up by around 9%.

The first real significant fact about yesterday's elections are how well Clinton did with voters who made their decision within the last three days. I can't find any statistics right now, but CNN cited some which showed her a clear favorite among these, especially in Ohio. I guess the kitchen-sink strategy worked.

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